Confirming you are not from the U.S. or the Philippines

Bằng cách đưa ra quyết định này, tôi tuyên bố rõ ràng và xác nhận rằng:
  • Tôi không phải là công dân hoặc cư dân Hoa Kỳ
  • Tôi không phải là cư dân của Philippines
  • Tôi không trực tiếp hoặc gián tiếp sở hữu hơn 10% cổ phần/quyền biểu quyết/lợi ích của cư dân Hoa Kỳ và/hoặc không kiểm soát công dân hoặc cư dân Hoa Kỳ bằng các phương thức khác
  • Tôi không thuộc quyền sở hữu trực tiếp hoặc gián tiếp hơn 10% cổ phần/quyền biểu quyết/lợi ích và/hoặc dưới sự kiểm soát của công dân hoặc cư dân Hoa Kỳ được thực hiện bằng các phương thức khác
  • Tôi không liên kết với công dân hoặc cư dân Hoa Kỳ theo Mục 1504(a) của FATCA
  • Tôi nhận thức được trách nhiệm của mình khi khai báo gian dối.
Theo mục đích của tuyên bố này, tất cả các quốc gia và vùng lãnh thổ phụ thuộc của Hoa Kỳ đều ngang bằng với lãnh thổ chính của Hoa Kỳ. Tôi cam kết bảo vệ và giữ cho Octa Markets Incorporated, giám đốc và cán bộ của công ty vô hại chống lại bất kỳ khiếu nại nào phát sinh từ hoặc liên quan đến bất kỳ hành vi vi phạm tuyên bố nào của tôi bằng văn bản này.
Chúng tôi trú trọng quyền riêng tư và bảo mật thông tin cá nhân của bạn. Chúng tôi chỉ thu thập email để cung cấp các ưu đãi đặc biệt và thông tin quan trọng về sản phẩm và dịch vụ của chúng tôi. Bằng cách gửi địa chỉ email của bạn, bạn đồng ý nhận những bức thư như vậy từ chúng tôi. Nếu bạn muốn hủy đăng ký hoặc có bất kỳ câu hỏi hoặc thắc mắc nào, hãy viết thư cho Hỗ trợ Khách hàng của chúng tôi.
Octa trading broker
Mở tài khoản giao dịch
Back

Fed policymakers remain wary about inflation, focus shifts to FOMC Minutes

  • Fed policymakers' comments on policy outlook will be scrutinized by investors this week.
  • Markets try to figure out whether the Fed will hold policy steady in September.
  • Fed rate outlook could influence the US Dollar's performance against its major rivals.

Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are scheduled to deliver speeches throughout this week as investors reassess the interest rate outlook following the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a no change in the Fed's policy rate in September holds around 40%.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on May 15 that the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.6% on a yearly basis in April. This reading followed the 3.8% increase recorded in March and came in line with the market expectation. On a monthly basis, the CPI and the core CPI both rose 0.3% after rising 0.4% in March. The US Dollar (USD) came under bearish pressure as market participants assessed the inflation data and the USD Index fell to its lowest level in over a month, losing over 0.7% on a weekly basis.

Since the release of the April inflation report, however, Fed policymakers adopted a cautious language and caused investors to doubt the probability of a rate cut in September. In the American session on Wednesday, the Fed will release the minutes of the April 30-May 1 policy meeting.

Fed Minutes Preview: Markets to focus on comments regarding the inflation outlook.

Economic Indicator

FOMC Minutes

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

Read more.

Last release: Wed Apr 10, 2024 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is usually published three weeks after the day of the policy decision. Investors look for clues regarding the policy outlook in this publication alongside the vote split. A bullish tone is likely to provide a boost to the greenback while a dovish stance is seen as USD-negative. It needs to be noted that the market reaction to FOMC Minutes could be delayed as news outlets don’t have access to the publication before the release, unlike the FOMC’s Policy Statement.

Fed officials' recent comments on policy and inflation

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted on Monday that, while she expects shelter inflation to slowly improve, she said that she doesn't expect progress to be quick. Fed's Daly also noted that she is not confident that inflation is sustainably coming down to the Fed's 2% inflation target.

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said that the Fed is in a good position to hold the policy steady and watch the economy, per Reuters. Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chair of the Board of Governors Phillip Jefferson acknowledged that April's better inflation reading was encouraging and added that it was too early to tell if the recent slowdown in disinflationary process will be long-lasting.

Last week, Fed Board of Governors member Michelle Bowman said that progress on inflation may not be as consistent as many hoped. Cleveland Fed President Mester emphasized that maintaining the current levels of Fed policy will aid in returning still-elevated inflation to the 2% target. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin told CNBC last Thursday that the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed that inflation was not where the Fed is trying to get. Finally, New York Fed President Williams argued that there was no need for a rate cut in the near term.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday that the Fed has to be cautious about the first rate move, adding that it may need to be later in order to not stoke pent-up exuberance for investment and other spending. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that he needs to see several more months of good inflation data before being comfortable to support an easing in the policy.

Fed's Bostic: Fed has to be cautious about first rate move.

Fed's Waller: Several more months of good inflation data needed before supporting easing in policy.

Fed Governor Waller added further comments on Tuesday, cautioning that the Fed's data-dependent approach may not see the need for rate cuts until the end of the year. However, Fed's Waller pointed out that if the Fed were to start a cutting cycle, a single rate cut doesn't make a lot of sense.

Inflation FAQs

Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.

Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.

Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.

 

GBP/JPY rises after UK inflation data beats analysts’ estimates

GBP/JPY rises to the 199.20s on Wednesday after UK inflation data comes out higher than economists had predicted.
Đọc thêm Previous

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) rose from previous -4.3% to -1.9% in April

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) rose from previous -4.3% to -1.9% in April
Đọc thêm Next